profile search
latest updates
Press Release
30 Aug | Friday
RAM Ratings reaffirms AAA/Stable rating of Cagamas MBS’s CMBS 2007-2

RAM Ratings has reaffirmed the AAA/Stable rating of Cagamas MBS Berhad’s RM2.41 billion residential mortgage-backed securities (CMBS 2007-2). Cagamas MBS is a limited-purpose entity incorporated for the purpose of securitising government staff housing loans (GSHLs) and government staff Islamic home financing facilities (GSIHF).

The reaffirmation of the rating is premised on the portfolio’s stable performance which has resulted in superior collateral coverage – its overcollateralisation (OC) ratio had risen to 123.6% as at end-November 2018 (end-February 2018: 121.8%). The OC ratio is backed by RM735.9 mil in mortgages (by principal outstanding) and RM639.0 mil in cash and permitted investments, against the RM615 mil total outstanding balance of the last three tranches. To date, RM355 mil remains outstanding following the redemption of the RM260 mil Tranche 5 on August 2019. The significant credit support provides a more than sufficient buffer against default and prepayment levels in an AAA stressed scenario as well as negative variance on investment returns. Further, the rating is supported by the non-discretionary repayment structure of the GSHLs, which reduces exposure to the credit risk of borrowers.
 
During the review period, the transaction continued to record a net default performance that was better than our base-case expectation – the cumulative net default rate as at end-November 2018 stood at 0.44% against our assumption of 5.97%. Prepayments were lower than the levels assumed, with the cumulative prepayment rate at 15.26% compared to the assumed 18.50%. The option to partially redeem the last two tranches of the bond, although permitted, has not been exercised, as cashflow arising from excess prepayments has yet to meet the projected amounts, despite having fulfilled the minimum threshold of RM90 mil for the Collections Account. As at 30 November 2018, the portfolio of GSHLs comprised 31,219 accounts, with an average outstanding balance of RM23,572. The weighted-average term to maturity of the CMBS 2007-2 pool stood at 8.10 years as at the same date.
 
Under Budget 2019, civil servants (grade 54 and below) and pensioners received a one-off special payment of RM500 and RM250, respectively, while pensioners receiving pensions of less than RM1,000 were paid an additional one-off assistance sum of RM500. Further, the government had introduced the Bantuan Sara Hidup programme early this year – a tiered cash handout scheme where the sums paid out depend on the income level of eligible persons. These initiatives were not observed to have any significant impact on current prepayment levels, likely due to the subsidised interest rates of GSHLs as well as persisting inflationary pressures and affordability issues. While the new administration has provided an assurance that the civil service will not be downsized, there have been proposals to reshuffle and reassign civil servants at all levels, which could result in higher incidences of transfers and, in turn, possibly more administrative delays in deductions. During the review period, the respective delinquency profiles of portfolios under Cagamas MBS Berhad were generally stable.
 
 

Analytical contact
William Tan
(603) 3385 2530
williamtan@ram.com.my

Media contact
Padthma Subbiah
(603) 3385 2577
padthma@ram.com.my

 Date of release: 30 August 2019

The credit rating is not a recommendation to purchase, sell or hold a security, inasmuch as it does not comment on the security’s market price or its suitability for a particular investor, nor does it involve any audit by RAM Ratings. The credit rating also does not reflect the legality and enforceability of financial obligations.

RAM Ratings receives compensation for its rating services, normally paid by the issuers of such securities or the rated entity, and sometimes third parties participating in marketing the securities, insurers, guarantors, other obligors, underwriters, etc. The receipt of this compensation has no influence on RAM Ratings’ credit opinions or other analytical processes. In all instances, RAM Ratings is committed to preserving the objectivity, integrity and independence of its ratings. Rating fees are communicated to clients prior to the issuance of rating opinions. While RAM Ratings reserves the right to disseminate the ratings, it receives no payment for doing so, except for subscriptions to its publications.

Similarly, the disclaimers above also apply to RAM Ratings’ credit-related analyses and commentaries, where relevant.

Published by RAM Rating Services Berhad
© Copyright 2019 by RAM Rating Services Berhad

Print Mail Twitter LinkedIn Facebook Google+
Past Articles
2019
November
October
September
August
July
June
May
April
March
January
2018
December
November
October
September
August
July
June
May
April
March
February
January
2017
December
November
October
September
August
July
June
May
April
March
February
January
2016
December
November
September
July
June
May
April
March
2015
June
May
April
March
February
January
2014
December
November
October
September
August
July
June
May
April
March
February
January
2013
December
October
July
May
April
March
2012
December